September 19, 2011

Browns Leave Indianapolis .500



The Colts were left waiving the white flag midway through their loss to the Cleveland Browns last Sunday. After a tough loss to the Bengals at home (sorry we didn't post, the depression was just too great) the Browns headed to Indianapolis to face the Manningless Colts and displayed the type of football that we expected to see in week 1. While many of you may say, "of course we won, the Colts are pathetic" you forget (or chose to ignore) the fact that the Browns have failed over and over again to beat teams they were supposed to beat. (see Bengals) Whether its a stupid penalty, a busted play or a bad turnover, the Browns have consistently snatched defeat out of the jaws of victory.



The Browns avoided a similar fate on Sunday by playing strong defense, committing to a running game and by utilizing a stellar special teams performance. While Kerry Collins is certainly well past his prime, he still has the arm and the know how to win games at this level. We will ignore the fact that he has only had about 3 weeks to learn Manning's offense, in order to feel even better about the Browns defense.




It is great to see young defenders on the field making a difference. If I had one complaint about Mangini, its that he trusted veteran players well past their prime to play, while potential sat wasting on the bench. A shout out to Tom Heckert is also in order (again) for his drafting on the defensive side of the ball the last two years. Jabaal Sheard and Phil Taylor are looking like solid picks. While Joe Haden had two penalties (on one play), he continued to show that he is one of the top corners in the NFL. I have no reservations about him covering Brandon Marshall next week when Miami and the lifeless Brian Dabol offense comes to town. TJ Ward continues to get better at strong safety, and I think the Browns have found something in Usama Young at free safety. While Mike Adams continues to start at FS, I believe it is only a matter of time before Adams loses the job to Young. This in no way should be taken as criticism for Adams, as he has produced at a higher level than expected during his time in Cleveland.



The coaching staff swithed Jayme Mitchell and Sheard on the D Line, returning Sheard to his more natural (white pistachio nut) left defense end position. The move paid dividends this week, as Sheard had a strip sack, that he recovered. Rubin and Taylor continue to look like a formidable front. They have not only colapsed the pocket, but have shown the ability to keep blockers off of the linebackers. In thinking of the run defense, the runs that have hurt us the most have not been right up the middle. The defense needs to do a better job of setting the edge in the running game. Primarily the responsibility of the DEs and the OLBs.



On offense, we are seeing the development of the west coast offense. Colt looked much better this game, completeing nearly 70% of his passes and finding his WRs more often. The Colts did a good job of taking away Ben Watson, but Mo Mass, Greg Little and Cribbs did a nice job moving the chains between Hillis runs. Its time for the Brian Robiske experiment to officially end. He is not developing in to a NFL wide receiver. I know it hurts some of you OSU fans out there, but he sucks... alot. Every play he is on the field is a play that one of the other WRs is not on the field, thus slowing their development. I am hopeful that we will see Carlton Mitchell within the next few weeks to see if he can contribute.




Hillis had a nice game, behind a developing offensive line. For multiple reasons, do not expect to see the kind of games he had last year. I agree with Coach that he needs to get Hardesty in the game sooner than the 3rd quarter. This staff needs to have a plan with respect to the number or carries Hardesty should be getting and see to it that he spells Hillis earlier in the game. Hardesty has the talent to be a viable option in the running game. Don't worry about his fumble, I don't foresee it being a problem.



The offensive line improved and had a nice game against a decent, but small Indianapolis front 7. The run game helped neutralize one of the better pass rushes in the NFL, Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis. Freeney had one sack, but was stonewalled by Joe Thomas the rest of the game. Pinkston and Lauvao improved from week one, as did the rotating RT spot consiting of Oniel Cousins and Artis Hicks. Tony Pashos is supposedly practicing some this week, so hopefully he can return in a week or two and help solidify the line before we get to the Steelers and Ravens at the end of the season.



I cannot say enough about Josh Cribbs in the return game. He has consistently put the Browns in good field position, and the offense has responded with TDs after Cribbs' biggest returns. The kickoff rule has not slowed down Cribbs to date, as he has been returning kicks from 7 yards into the endzone. As Shurmur has stated, be ready to see teams kicking away from Cribbs as he continues to shine.



It is good to see the team win on the road against a team they are supposed to beat. This week the Dolphins come to town to try to get their first win of the season. I have absolutley no faith in Brian Dabol's ability to develop a competative offense, however the Dolphins defense is not nearly as inept. This will likely be a closer game than we saw in Indianapolis.

September 8, 2011

What to Expect When You're Expecting a Superbowl



We here at Superbowl Someday have delusionally maintained, year in and year out, that this year is the year. We are always expecting a Superbowl. Here are some nuggets that we expect will help you to know what to expect when you're expecting a Superbowl.



Off Season


In case you have been in a coma for the last 6 months, the NFL's off season was abbreviated due to the NFL owners locking out the players and the subsequent lawsuits and negotiations. Many so-called experts have noted that the Browns are at significant disadvantage due to the fact that we are implementing new systems on both sides of the ball and introducing a new coaching staff. However, this is water near a bridge. The only thing that matters now is winning on Sundays. You will not hear about the lockout again, unless of course we need to somehow justify a terrible performance or 2.




Preseason


Preseason games are generally worthless in determining what to expect from the regular season. Recent history has shown that the 4-0 preseason Lions were not a good squad, finishing 0-16 in the regular season. Also the Colts almost never win in the preseason and have been in the playoffs for the last 10 years.


However, there are some things that can be taken from the preseason games. Most importantly, Colt McCoy appears to have a good understanding of this offense. It looks like he knows where to go with the ball and did a good job getting the ball into the hands of his backs, tight ends and wide receivers. While it is too soon to say Colt will be a stud in the regular season, the fact that he did not seem overwhelmed was a positive.


The wide receivers do appear to be better suited for the west coast offense. For whatever reason the offense run by former offensive coordinator Brian Daboll was just horrible and really hampered the development and production of our young receivers. (Daboll somehow got hired to be the OC in Miami. We will see their pathetic offense week 2.)


The defense has looked promising at times while also looking all to familiar on third downs, giving up large chunks of yards, which allows drives to continue. Lets hope the rookies on the D-line, get up to speed asap. I worry about lack of depth basically everywhere on the defensive side of the ball, but there is enough talent to be middle of the road defense if our guys can stay healthy.


What to Expect From the 2011 Season - Defense



I expect the Browns to be much improved this season. The move back to a 4-3 defense was the right one for the talent that we had on this team. I like the fact that when Tom Heckert identifies an area of weakness, he addresses it in the draft with multiple picks. (2010 Haden and Ward and 2011 Taylor and Sheard)


The secondary looks to be in better shape heading into this year. While many of you know that I was strongly in favor of bringing back Eric Wright, who I think will be better this year than he was last year, I like the makeup of our CBs. Buster Skrine is a hell of a find and appears to be ready to contribute as the teams' nickle or dime back. Undrafted rookie free agent, James Dockery has looked good and will likely see the field at times. Expect Haden to have another great year.


TJ Ward is going to be much more comfortable in Dick Jauron's defense. Expect him to continue developing, particularly in pass coverage. Mike Adams is the starting FS, due to Usama Young's month long recovery from a hamstring injury. I believe that Adams and/or Young is an improvement over Abe Elam, at least from an athletic standpoint. Elam made some plays in his time with the Browns but was often a step too slow.


The linebacking group is a good one. Scott Fujita returns as the leader of the defense and is back in a 4-3, where he has played most of his career. Having D'qwell Jackson back from two season's worth of pectoral injuries is huge for this defense. While he is slightly undersized, he will be all over the field making plays. Let's hope the D Line is good enough to allow Jackson to make plays at or behind the line or scrimmage as opposed to 5-6 yards down field.


Chris Gocong is a bit of a question mark. He has been recovering from a stinger in his neck and has not played throughout this season. Kaluka Maiava has been filling in and has been surprisingly solid. of the three linebacker spots, this is where I have the most concerns, however between the scheme change and the talent, this is probably the best the starting linebackers have been since the return.

The defensive line is starting two rookies in Phil Taylor and Jabaal Sheard. Both have outstanding physical talent, but will undoubtedly make rookie mistakes. Look for Sheard's development as a pass rusher, but watch out for his issues keeping containment by running too far up the field and allowing the QB or RB to cut up inside. (See Kamerion Wimbley) Taylor and Rubin provide a lot of beef in the middle of the line. This size/strength combo will help our run game. The key for these guys is going to be collapsing the pocket enough so that the QB cannot step up to avoid the outside rush. Look for blitzes in the A gap (either side of the center) to help with the pass rush. (We saw a lot of this against the Eagles, where Vick spent a good portion of the game getting up after taking hits.)


Jayme Mitchell will start at the other DE position. Heckert made the trade for Mitchell last year, but he was not a great fit in the Mangini/Ryan 3-4 and was never utilized. I am not convinced that he will be a difference maker, but am hoping hes a 6-7 sack guy and is strong in the run game. Look for Benard to get some chances during passing situations, as the team believes he is the best natural pass rusher on the roster. Benard came to camp too light, believing that the coaches were going to make him an outside linebacker. He has spend most of camp trying to regain his weight and strength to stay at DE.


What to Expect From the 2011 Season - Offense


The west coast offense will be a sight for sore eyes in Cleveland. Expect this offense to be executed at a fast tempo while previous regimes try to shorten the game by taking time off the clock. Do not fret about the death of our running game. Shurmer is well aware that our running game is the strength of this offense and he will let Hillis do what he does best. With respect to the passing game, expect shorter passes that require precise route running and an element of timing. Expect Colt to throw to an area where the receiver is expected to be. The ball will be out of Colt's hands quickly. Shurmur and Holmgren have said on numerous occasions that this offense is more wide receiver friendly. However if the WRs continue to have problems getting separation, as they have in seasons past, this could be a problem area for the offense.


Don't buy into the Madden curse as it pertains to Peyton Hillis. Hillis of course is a big bruising back that still has relatively low wear on his body, haveing only had one full season as a starting running back. Hillis will not get as many carries as last season due to both the scheme and having other capable running backs on the roster. Having said that, I expect Hillis to have 1200 total yards and he will likely be in the double digits for TDs. Monterio Hardesty is the second running back. A year removed from knee surgery, it will be interesting to see what he can do. I don't expect him to be over worked, at least at this point in the season.


Expect Hardesty to get about 10 touches per game for the time being. Armond Smith is the speady rookie back from Union College in Kentucky. Smith who reportedly runs a 4.36 forty is the kind of speed back that the Browns have been lacking for years. If he can hang onto the ball, he can be a dynamic change of pace on an offense that lacks speed from top to bottom.


The O-line is once again the strength of this offense, anchored by two pro-bowlers in Joe Thomas and Alex Mack. I see no reason why each won't continue to develop and reach yet another probowl. The loss of Eric Steinbach at LG is significant. Lets hope that rookie Jason Pinkston can step up and produce. The Browns have brought in three veterans to solidify the line, in John Greco, Oniel Cousins and Artis Hicks. Shawn Lauvao probably should have started last season at RG, but injuries during camp derailed his chances. He has looked solid in the early going this year. Tony Pashos when healthy is a solid RT. He struggles at times against the speed rush, but is strong in the run game and is an adequate player. However, he is currently in a walking boot and his status for the opener is in doubt. Should he be unable to play, Oniel Cousins will likely start at RT.


The WR group has been getting trashed by the media for the last couple years. Brian Robiskie, Mohammed Massaquoi, and Josh Cribbs have not been causing defensive coordinators many restless nights. However, each appears to be better off coming into this season. Cribbs showed flashes last year, as a threat when the ball is in his hand. With the removal of the wildcat from this offense, look for Shurmur to get Cribbs the ball in other ways.


Robiskie may develop into a decent possession receiver, but he has problems gaining separation against most NFL CBs. As such, the timing aspect of this offense is critical for Robiskie. Lets hope his ability as a route runner show up, or he will not be long for this team. Rookie Greg Little has been getting a lot of hype and rightfully so. We have not had a WR with his talent since Braylon Edwards was dropping balls all over the lakefront. Little, despite not playing last season due to suspension while at North Carolina looks to be a legitimate target for McCoy. Little, a former running back, has the ability to gain yards after the catch, is tough in traffic and has the size to be a number one receiver in the NFL. Jordan Norwood will receive time, presumably as a slot receiver. I like Norwood and hope that he gets a chance to show what he can do. Throughout the preseason he showed the ability to get open and catch the football. While seemingly a simple task, lets not take anything for granted when it comes to our WRs.


Should our WRs again falter, look for the tight ends to pick up the slack. This is a solid group with Ben Watson and Evan Moore being counted on to be Colt's safety blankets. Both cause match up problems and have shown the ability to stretch the field and consistently catch he ball. Rookie Jordan Cameron has tons of natural ability but likely will not get many chances while he has Watson and Moore ahead of him. I expect the TEs to combine for over 85 catches with 9-10 tds.


About the Schedule - the Road to the Superbowl



The football gods have smiled upon the Browns, giving them arguably the easiest schedule through the first 12 weeks of the season. The Browns host the Bengals this Sunday, a team that has been the laughing stock of the readers and writers of this blog for a long time. The offense looks to be based on Ced Benson, as they break in Andy Dalton at QB. The Bengal's defense will be solid, but the loss of Jonathan Joseph at CB is significant. The Browns should win this game. If not, well, we have a lot to worry about and we can start looking forward to the draft and a top 5 pick.

We then play the Colts, likely without Peyton Manning at the helm. Even with notable veteran Kerry Collins having recently signed, the Colts do not scare many people without Manning. Their offense is based 100% on Manning's abilities both physically and his mental ability to recognize defenses and pick them apart. This is a very winnable game. We think unless Manning plays, the Browns should win this one and be 2-0.

Next we have the Dolphins. While the Phin's defense is above average and we've played some really sloppy games against them of late, the offense is probably going to regress under 2nd time offensive coordinator Brian Daboll. We witnessed such poor playcalling the last two years that I just cannot imagine him using Chad Henne and Reggie Bush to beat us. 3-0

Tennessee then comes to Cleveland looking for a piece of us. The Titans are another team with a new coach, new system, new QB and some serious concerns. However this is still a talented team with Chris Johnson ready to prove his new mega-contract was no fluke. Matt Hasselbeck is now the Titans QB, behind a good O-line, and decent wide receivers. The Titans defense is solid but has lost some key players to free agency. This is a winnable game for the Browns, but so far the biggest threat. To close to call = 4-0.

Following the bye week, we play Oakland, Seattle and San Fran. Each of these games is very winnable, with Oakland, yes you read that right, being the best of the bunch. We have had problems playing Oakland even when they were worse, so I see us losing to Oakland but winning the other two. 6-1.

Houston is next, and they appear to be a playoff team this year. Last year their secondary was just horrific. Adrian Foster, Andre Johnson and Matt Schaub power an impressive offense. Browns come up short here and drop one on the road to a good team. 6-2.


The next three are going to make or break our season. We play the Rams, Jags and Bengals. Again I expect to win 2 out of 3, with the toughest game being against the Rams. The Jags are looking more and more like they will be playing a rookie QB at that time and the Bengals again just plain suck at life. 8-3.

At this point I will be clamoring to have an 11 game season and to begin the playoffs. Our next 5 games are against the Cardinals and the Steelers and Ravens twice. The Cardinals are beatable. Baltimore and Pittsburgh will both be top 6 teams when its said and done barring any drastic injuries. This is a tough division. I think best case scenario is that we split with our division rivals and beat the Cards. Worse case is we go 0-5 in that stretch. I think we will win 2 of those 5 and end up 10-6. Realistically we'll probably lose a couple we should have won and win one we should have lost. I think we will go anywhere from 8-8 to 10-6. Hopefully we build up enough confidence with our very young team that we can do even better.

Like 2007, I'm not sure if that is enough for a playoff bid.

SUPERBOWL!